Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 3.009680 3.346483 3.710857 4.135223 4.616970 5.148107 5.779733
2025-03-16 2.475220 2.918162 3.431062 4.072140 4.856509 5.790700 6.996128
2025-03-23 2.229575 2.748915 3.382641 4.219927 5.307575 6.687036 8.592078
2025-03-30 1.989527 2.540450 3.241073 4.208728 5.528268 7.290757 9.867263
2025-04-06 1.795353 2.360601 3.104826 4.172174 5.689712 7.810124 11.069739
2025-04-13 1.577487 2.123563 2.862999 3.956603 5.565906 7.900611 11.645283
2025-04-20 1.466817 2.020478 2.791077 3.965947 5.755195 8.451035 12.966102
2025-04-27 1.393220 1.961213 2.772649 4.046278 6.051235 9.185520 14.663683
2025-05-04 1.327758 1.906847 2.754348 4.121168 6.340908 9.934580 16.478402
2025-05-11 1.261814 1.845543 2.718932 4.163199 6.577643 10.617010 18.263868
2025-05-18 1.200088 1.785260 2.679017 4.192045 6.791564 11.278662 20.096686
2025-05-25 1.112682 1.678574 2.557760 4.075517 6.743699 11.472674 21.067377
2025-06-01 1.045441 1.600659 2.479008 4.027276 6.816941 11.904467 22.592107
2025-06-08 0.983663 1.527406 2.402559 3.976331 6.880071 12.324580 24.159044
2025-06-15 0.964322 1.521892 2.437394 4.122507 7.319463 13.513545 27.537061
2025-06-22 0.918603 1.469133 2.388010 4.112157 7.459736 14.126209 29.748443
2025-06-29 0.872538 1.412707 2.328086 4.076699 7.546176 14.636699 31.806806
2025-07-06 0.802294 1.310569 2.181436 3.866846 7.264372 14.341451 31.901014
2025-07-13 0.771383 1.275101 2.150958 3.875951 7.428460 15.022232 34.501126
2025-07-20 0.752791 1.260109 2.156138 3.954168 7.743198 16.072380 38.228218
2025-07-27 0.734497 1.244434 2.158773 4.027079 8.053378 17.150505 42.236132
2025-08-03 0.712972 1.221543 2.146280 4.067998 8.297241 18.103697 46.088704
2025-08-10 0.691109 1.196725 2.128412 4.096080 8.514709 19.020397 50.021755